The Causal Intelligence Model (CIM) is an advanced technology designed to simplify complex economic causal inference simulations. Like a human financial analyst, CIM learns the causal relationships between economic events and stock prices, performing inference with remarkable precision.
With CIM, we generate long-term economic forecasts and conduct medium- to long-term stock price predictions and simulations. For example, CIM has achieved an impressive average accuracy of 88.7% in stock price forecasts for the top 100 U.S. companies by market capitalization over the past year. Additionally, CIM allows users to view the historical forecast accuracy for each individual stock, enabling them to see which stocks the model forecasts with high accuracy.
CIM's true value lies not only in its forecast accuracy but also in its causal inference capabilities. By identifying which economic events influence specific stock prices, CIM provides highly reliable explanations that build confidence in its forecasts, allowing users to make more informed investment decisions and mitigate risks.
The output of CIM goes beyond stock prices. In the future, we expect CIM to support real-time economic simulations with a wide range of outputs by incorporating additional parameters.
This innovative technology has the potential to revolutionize economic analysis, offering rapid insights into the causal and correlational relationships within economic data through advanced time-series analysis.